Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 1991.987275 2173.872705 2359.895090 2564.094527 2781.662258 3006.258470 3255.349014
2024-10-13 1694.589533 1961.133003 2245.763384 2571.212668 2931.894339 3318.248473 3762.238347
2024-10-20 1503.648653 1818.921659 2166.592055 2576.126013 3042.947260 3556.119645 4160.450306
2024-10-27 1305.993104 1644.099275 2027.801323 2491.726166 3033.545157 3642.426876 4374.333022
2024-11-03 1237.212721 1608.579398 2039.838933 2572.133769 3205.692656 3929.859630 4814.067871
2024-11-10 1163.500771 1559.107909 2028.444335 2618.808506 3333.668177 4163.318557 5190.526175
2024-11-17 1075.824715 1485.053627 1980.789500 2615.858492 3397.578887 4318.009207 5472.599523
2024-11-24 986.291796 1401.940921 1915.859800 2585.984178 3423.950147 4424.234073 5694.555467
2024-12-01 932.192198 1360.113976 1898.881436 2612.397585 3516.912776 4609.472024 6011.687514
2024-12-08 872.190008 1306.401861 1863.066235 2611.683816 3573.505704 4748.717776 6272.462777
2024-12-15 838.792352 1285.830349 1868.110045 2661.699110 3693.166488 4965.955462 6630.610943
2024-12-22 783.062382 1231.309295 1825.363424 2646.770330 3727.731299 5075.677210 6854.934789
2024-12-29 758.234402 1219.153878 1839.298210 2707.547936 3862.392998 5315.429332 7248.442638
2025-01-05 715.990235 1179.972269 1814.690995 2715.521669 3927.605017 5467.432644 7533.110989
2025-01-12 676.210857 1141.891781 1789.407330 2720.654762 3987.711402 5612.350321 7809.290068
2025-01-19 609.242834 1059.825462 1698.848289 2632.611197 3920.069476 5589.049676 7867.271970
2025-01-26 601.087696 1065.486165 1732.341599 2716.490919 4084.630270 5870.210140 8321.689110
2025-02-02 582.848828 1054.548854 1741.084965 2765.169567 4201.431534 6089.461966 8697.529702
2025-02-09 550.812286 1020.327562 1714.294919 2762.093146 4246.288811 6213.147290 8948.765156
2025-02-16 513.208302 975.137752 1669.273369 2730.936848 4250.652069 6281.749155 9127.023457
2025-02-23 493.746627 958.060170 1665.316200 2758.483897 4336.666269 6460.383461 9452.560171
2025-03-02 468.225629 929.595983 1642.804245 2757.739529 4382.089968 6583.942299 9705.218602
2025-03-09 457.286510 924.830636 1656.191789 2809.894323 4502.932350 6811.164809 10099.024690